As the UEFA Champions League heats up, all eyes turn to the Estadio da Luz on 28 January 2026, where Benfica faces off against Real Madrid in a crucial Round of 8 showdown.
Real Madrid, sitting comfortably in 3rd place with 15 points, are the bookmakers’ favourites, boasting an attacking powerhouse led by Kylian Mbappe. In contrast, Benfica struggles in 29th place, with just 6 points. The weather will be chilly at 1°C with overcast clouds, adding an element of endurance to the match.
Benfica
Jose Mourinho
Real Madrid
Álvaro Arbeloa
Benfica
Jose Mourinho
4-2-3-1
Expected lineup
11
Benjamin Šeško
7.4Portugal 9.52
Euro 2024 stats
GOALS 5
ASSISTS13
MINUTES PLAYED
1490′1
Trubin
17
Dedic
44
Araújo
30
Otamendi
26
Dahl
18
Barreiro
8
Aursnes
25
Prestianni
10
Sudakov
21
Schjelderup
14
Pavlidis
7
Junior
10
Mbappe
30
Mastantuono
5
Bellingham
14
Tchouameni
15
Guler
18
Carreras
24
Huijsen
17
Asencio
8
Valverde
1
Courtois
1
Trubin
17
Dedic
44
Araújo
30
Otamendi
26
Dahl
18
Barreiro
8
Aursnes
25
Prestianni
10
Sudakov
21
Schjelderup
14
Pavlidis
7
Junior
10
Mbappe
30
Mastantuono
5
Bellingham
14
Tchouameni
15
Guler
18
Carreras
24
Huijsen
17
Asencio
8
Valverde
1
Courtois
4-2-3-1
Expected lineup
Expected lineup
4-3-3
4-3-3
Expected lineup
Real Madrid
Álvaro Arbeloa
| 4António Silva |
| 5Enzo Barrenechea |
| 7Bruma |
| 9Franjo Ivanovic |
| 16Manuel Jorge Silva |
| 50Diogo Ferreira |
| 58Daniel Banjaqui |
| 62Jose Neto |
| 64Gonçalo Oliveira |
| 67Rodrigo Rêgo |
| 84Joao Rego |
| 86Diogo Prioste |
| 2Daniel Carvajal |
| 4David Alaba |
| 6Eduardo Camavinga |
| 11Rodrygo |
| 13Andriy Lunin |
| 16Gonzalo Garcia |
| 19Dani Ceballos |
| 20Fran García |
| 21Brahim Diaz |
| 26Fran Gonzalez |
| 47Pol Fortuny |
| 48Daniel Mesonero |
Key match facts:
- Real Madrid has conceded most goals between 61 and 75 minutes.
- Benfica scores most goals between 16 and 30 minutes.
- Both teams average 1.3 goals conceded per match.
Expect Real Madrid to capitalise on their form and depth to secure a win.
Benfica vs. Real Madrid Prediction & Tip
The recommended tip is for Real Madrid to win. The odds favour Real Madrid, reflecting their strong form and superior squad depth.
Odds are subject to change. Last updated
January 27, 2026 12:38 pm
- Real Madrid is in 3rd place with 15 points, while Benfica is 29th with just 6 points.
- Kylian Mbappe’s form and Real Madrid’s recent victories indicate a high chance of success.
- Benfica’s recent home struggles make Real Madrid the safer bet.
- Real Madrid’s attacking firepower, led by Mbappe, is formidable.
- Benfica has struggled at home, with only one win in their last three home games.
- Real Madrid needs just a point to secure their position, but they will aim for a win.