Tunisia vs Netherlands Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 26/06/2026

Top 3 Bets Summary

• Full-Time Result: Netherlands to Win
• Handicap Market: Netherlands -2 European Handicap
• Player Prop: Cody Gakpo to Score Anytime

Tunisia

Netherlands

28.0

9.60

1.15

Odds are subject to change. Last updated June 24, 2026 11:05 am

Tunisia vs Netherlands Match Details

• Location: Kansas City, USA
• Stadium: Arrowhead Stadium
• Date: 26/06/2026
• Kick-off Time: 00:00 WAT

Top 3 Betting Picks for Tunisia vs Netherlands

Pick 1: Full-Time Result: Netherlands to Win @ 1.12

The Netherlands are overwhelming favourites for good reason. A victory secures their position at the top of Group F, potentially earning them a more favourable draw in the next round. This is an opportunity they are unlikely to squander against a struggling Tunisia.

• Tunisia’s Collapse: The African side has been the weakest at the tournament, losing both matches while conceding a staggering nine goals and scoring only once.
• Dutch Dominance: Ronald Koeman’s team is unbeaten in their last 14 tournament matches, a record-breaking streak. They followed a 2-2 draw with Japan by dismantling Sweden 5-1.
• Motivation Factor: With Tunisia already eliminated, the Netherlands have everything to play for and will be focused on a commanding performance.

Pick 2: Handicap Market: Netherlands -2 European Handicap @ 2.05

For a value play, backing the Netherlands to win by a significant margin holds strong appeal. Not only do they need the three points, but goal difference could be the deciding factor for finishing first in the group, making a high-scoring victory a priority.

• Defensive Frailty: Tunisia’s defence has been porous, shipping an average of 4.5 goals per game. Their xGA (expected goals against) of 3.46 has been shattered by clinical finishing, resulting in nine goals conceded.
• Attacking Firepower: The Oranje have scored seven goals in two games, with their forward line looking sharp and clinical. They have the quality to exploit Tunisia’s defensive chaos from the first whistle.
• Historical Precedent: In five of their last nine victories, the Netherlands have covered a -2 European handicap, demonstrating their ability to win convincingly.

Pick 3: Player Prop: Cody Gakpo to Score Anytime @ 1.85

Cody Gakpo has been a standout performer for the Netherlands and is a prime candidate to find the net. He has consistently delivered on the biggest stage and poses a constant threat from the wing.

• Tournament Form: Gakpo has been directly involved in six goals in his last seven appearances at the finals (five goals, one assist), proving his reliability.
• Clutch Performer: A remarkable statistic shows that 13 of his last 14 goals for club and country have been scored in the second half, making him a major threat as the game progresses.
• Prime Opportunity: Facing the tournament’s leakiest defence, Gakpo will get plenty of chances to add to his tally.

Recent Form & Head-to-Head

While the historical head-to-head record shows two friendly draws (2-2 in 1994 and 1-1 in 2009), recent form tells a completely different story. The Netherlands are riding a wave of confidence, sitting atop Group F after a dominant 5-1 victory over Sweden. They are now on an incredible 14-match unbeaten run in the competition, the longest in its history.

In stark contrast, Tunisia’s campaign has been a disaster. They are eliminated after suffering heavy defeats to Sweden (5-1) and Japan (4-0). Conceding nine goals and scoring just one highlights the gulf in class between them and their group-stage opponents. This clash is less about history and more about current momentum, which is firmly with the Dutch.

Match Preview: Tunisia vs Netherlands

The final matchday in Group F sees a showdown with everything on the line for one team and only pride for the other. Netherlands enter this fixture needing a victory to guarantee their spot as group winners, a position they currently hold over Japan on goal difference. The pressure is on Ronald Koeman’s side to deliver a result and a statement performance.

For Tunisia, this match is about salvaging some respect after a chaotic tournament. They have already been eliminated, having lost both their games and even changed their manager mid-stream. Facing a Dutch side that is firing on all cylinders, Tunisia’s main objective will be to avoid another humiliating defeat.

Team News & Predicted Lineups

Tunisia head coach Hervé Renard has no fresh injury concerns but may be tempted to rotate his squad after the dismal 4-0 loss to Japan. The team that started that match showed little cohesion, and several players could be dropped as Renard looks for a reaction from his side in their final outing.

For the Netherlands, there is positive news as forward Brian Brobbey has returned to full training after a minor hamstring issue. However, given the stakes, Ronald Koeman may still opt to start the experienced Memphis Depay to lead the line, ensuring maximum firepower from the start.

• Tunisia Predicted Lineup: (3-4-2-1) Chamakh; Bronn, Rekik, Talbi; Valery, Khedira, Skhiri, El Abdi; Hannibal, Saad; Chaouat
• Netherlands Predicted Lineup: (4-3-3) Verbruggen; Dumfries, van Dijk, van Hecke, van de Ven; de Jong, Reijnders, Gravenberch; Malen, Gakpo, Depay

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