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Aston Villa vs. Brighton Prediction, Match Preview and Tips, 11 February 2026

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Diego Gómez of Brighton & Hove Albion shoots during the Premier League match between Brighton and Hove Albion and Aston Villa, 7th December 2025
MI News & Sport / Alamy Stock Photo

As the Premier League heats up, Aston Villa, positioned 3rd with 47 points, host Brighton, who sit 14th with 31 points, at Villa Park. The weather forecast predicts overcast clouds with temperatures around 9°C, making for a cool and intense evening.

Villa, buoyed by their home advantage and recent form of WWWLD, are the bookmaker favourites. Brighton, though struggling with a WDLDL record, have scored in 80% of their matches this season.

Referee Peter Bankes will oversee this clash, where Villa’s high pressing and wide runners are expected to dominate. Notably, the last home encounter ended in a 2-2 draw.

Match Facts:

  • Villa’s home intensity and chance creation usually translate into points.
  • Brighton’s build-up can be risky under pressure, making them susceptible to turnovers.
  • Villa’s wide runners are effective in punishing transitions, enhancing their scoring chances.

Overall, we predict a 2-1 victory for Aston Villa.

Aston Villa vs. Brighton Prediction & Tip

Our recommended tip for this fixture is to back Aston Villa to win. Given their home intensity and strong recent form, Villa are poised to capitalise on Brighton’s vulnerabilities, particularly when under pressure. Here are the key reasons:

  • Home Advantage: Villa’s home form and record of winning three out of their last five matches give them a significant edge.
  • Brighton’s Defensive Struggles: Brighton have not kept a clean sheet in their last five games, which could be detrimental against Villa’s attacking prowess.
  • High-Pressing Game: Aston Villa’s ability to press high and force errors in Brighton’s build-up play should create scoring opportunities.
Aston Villa
Brighton
Odds are subject to change. Last updated February 10, 2026 2:36 pm